The Great Wall of Crypto: Could this L1 Scale +537% by December 2025?

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Conflux (CFX) is the native token for an emerging Layer 1 smart contract platform that holds a unique position as China's only regulatory-compliant public blockchain.

As the L1 sector continues to grow, this project is capturing major attention with recent strategic launches, including a new offshore yuan-backed stablecoin.

The project's fundamentals and market sentiment are surging, with its native token gaining an impressive 154.3% in the last 30 days.

Currently trading around $0.1867, analyst forecasts suggest this rally may have much further to run.

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Tokenomics, Strategic Positioning, and Use Cases

CFX is the primary utility token for the Conflux ecosystem, used to pay transaction fees, earn staking rewards, and participate in network governance.

The network is built on a unique hybrid Proof-of-Work and Proof-of-Stake consensus mechanism, featuring a Tree-Graph algorithm that enables high throughput.

Recent catalysts include the launch of the Conflux 3.0 network and the unveiling of AxCNH, an offshore yuan-backed stablecoin designed to facilitate cross-border payments.

This positions the network as key infrastructure for China's "Belt and Road" initiative, building on existing partnerships with major entities like China Telecom.

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Financial Outlook and Market Position

CFX is currently ranked #113 among all cryptocurrencies and #48 in the smart contract platform sector, with a market capitalization of approximately $957 million.

Its Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) is around $1.06 billion, with about 5.11 billion tokens circulating.

The broader L1 sector has gained 17.14% in the last 30 days, but CFX's massive 154.3% surge has significantly outpaced the market and key competitors like Immutable (+32.5%) and Tezos (+68.4%).

This price rally is supported by strong fundamentals, as the network's on-chain DeFi TVL also grew by an impressive 56.03% to over $15 million in the same period.

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Bear Case

Despite its strong momentum and unique position, the project's on-chain TVL of around $15 million is still relatively low compared to its nearly $1 billion market cap.

This suggests its current valuation is heavily based on future growth potential rather than existing usage.

The project's success is now closely tied to the real-world adoption of its offshore yuan stablecoin and the ability of its ecosystem to attract significant developer activity.

Any regulatory shifts from China or a failure to gain traction in its cross-border payment initiatives could pose a risk to its growth narrative.

Outlook and Investment Thesis

This project is strategically positioned as a key blockchain infrastructure player with unique regulatory compliance in China, giving it a powerful advantage in Asia.

The launch of Conflux 3.0 and the offshore yuan stablecoin are significant catalysts that validate its long-term vision for cross-border finance.

The powerful surge in both its token price and on-chain TVL demonstrates strong market conviction in this new direction, suggesting the rally is built on more than just speculation.

With a clear focus on real-world utility and government-aligned initiatives, the project is poised for continued growth.

Analyst forecasts for 2025 are exceptionally bullish, projecting that the token could trade in a range between approximately $0.176 and a high of $1.206.

This maximum price target represents a potential upside of over 537% by December 2025, driven by the successful rollout of its new financial infrastructure.